#CFB Week 3 #FreePick Clemson/Louisville

September 12, 2017 | Posted By - Google+

1* Free Play Louisville.

While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can in a contest which we foresee being decided by whichever team has the ball in its hands last.

Clemson: The Tigers are 2-0 after holding on for a 14-6 home win over No. 13 Auburn on Saturday. Clemson had 11 sacks in the victory, making up for the lack of offense overall. Note that Clemson had a 32:25 to 27:35 disadvantage in time of possession. After one week Clemson ranks 53rd in the country in passing offense with 248.5 YPG. The defense has been amazing, but cleary the unit faces its stiffest test to date.

Louisville: The Cardinals picked up a conference win against UNC in a 47-35 road victory last weekend. Louisville won the yardage battle 705-401. Louisville also controlled the time of possession by a 35:56 to 24:04 margin. After one week the Cards rank tenth in the country in passing with 385.5 YPG. QB Lamar Jackson is 55 of 85 for 771 yards and five TD passes (also leads the team on the ground with 239 yards and three more major scores.)

The bottom line: Clemson has won three straight in the series, including a tight 42-36 decision at home on October 1st last year in the most recent meeting. There’s no question that the “revenge” angle comes into play here. Also note that the the Tigers are in fact just 4-6 ATS in their last ten on the road and only 8-9 ATS in their last 17 against the conference, while Louisville is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog. Posting 11 sacks against Jarrett Stidham is one thing, but clearly Jackson will be the most versatile QB that Clemson sees all year. Consider the revenge-minded CARDINALS in this one.

AAA Sports

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