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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
CS Bakersfield vs Idaho
CS Bakersfield
-1 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to  MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again.

 Bakersfield to cover 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Tennessee-Martin vs East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State
-14 -105 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg.

Play on ETSU to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 08, 2018
South Dakota State vs Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State
+7½ -110 at YouWager
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

KSU has the third-longest active home winning streak in FCS at 15 games and is one of five programs with a winning streak of 10 or more games. QB Chandler Burks has started 36 consecutive games at QB and has led the Owls to a 31-5 (.861) record. He is also 17-1 as the starting QB inside Fifth Third Bank Stadium. If South Dakota State wins here today Im betting it won't come easily.

Take the points with Kennesaw State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Dec 08, 2018
Islanders vs Red Wings
UNDER 6 -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

New York is struggling offensively.The Islanders in their past five games have only scored eight goals which is not a good omen for them tonight for snapping out of a drought, against a Detroit team, that has allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to score 3 goals or less and are off playing four explosive teamsB oston, Colorado, Tampa Bay and Toronto. that will have them prepared for this pedestrian  Isles attack.  Note: DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER  in home games when they allow 3 goals over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER  in home games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or more of shots against over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Illinois-Chicago vs Colorado
Illinois-Chicago
+11½ -102 at 5Dimes
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
St. Joe's vs Villanova
St. Joe's
+11½ -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. 

Play on St.Joes to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 08, 2018
UC Davis vs Eastern Washington
UNDER 70 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Eastern Washington hosts UC Davis on Saturday with a spot in the FCS Playoffs semifinals.These two teams met less than a month ago in a game that saw Eastern emerge with a 59-20 victory. So now theirs an inclination for public bettors to look at the over here as viable wager. In my usual contrarian fashion, I think this total is bloated and that we have value wth an under wager here according to my projections even though both these teams have prolific  offensive attacks. I do expect to see a lot more from the ground game from UC Davis in this rematch as they try to slow E.Washington down. On paper it looks like a shootout, but from a strategy perspective a more muted methodical and targeted effort from both sides won't come as a surprise. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 08, 2018
Nets vs Knicks
UNDER 220½ -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors on Friday night, and will now be on tired legs, and be less than ready to run and gun vs the NY Knicks here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks off shooting 39.6 percent shooting from the field in the loss, are a team that is struggling mightily to be consistent offensively. What was horrendous was the Knicks allowed the Celtics to shoot better than 53% in that loss, and now HC Fizdale will demanding his squad play better D, and to be more methodical with their approach. The above combinations Im betting will see this total combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 206.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 28-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 08, 2018
Wolves vs Blazers
Blazers
-2 -108 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 08, 2018
Lakers vs Grizzlies
Grizzlies
-2 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies,   played no one more than 35 minutes and  took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 08, 2018
Kings vs Pacers
UNDER 222½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Indiana is a big strong athletic team that bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and are allowing just 97.5 ppg at home this season. On the season they are ranked first in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. I know the the Kings run and in gun in with reckless abandon, but Indiana has the ability to dictate the pace here especially at home. The Pacers are ranked 26th in pace  in the NBA and are methodical in their approach and nothing changes here today. 

INDIANA is 9-0 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 15-5 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.5 pig scored.INDIANA is 12-4 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 200.7 ppg scored. 

  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 39-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 08, 2018
Rockets vs Mavs
Mavs
+3 -101 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle  10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
UNLV vs Illinois
UNLV
+8½ -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team  that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a  feisty non conference foe. 

ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.

UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again.

Play on UNLV 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Wisconsin vs Marquette
Marquette
-110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

These teams  Wisconsin and Marquette will meet for the 125th time Saturday afternoon in Milwaukee.

Wisconsin (8-1, 2-0 Big Ten), ranked No. 12 coming into the game, but Im betting will have their hands full with this strong looking Marquette group. 

Wisconsin plays a methodical type of basketball, and are not built to run and gun , and since I expect Marquette to bomb from the land of the trey constantly here this afternoon, the Badgers will be in trouble.Also aside from Happ Wisconsins rebounding is average at best and that always is a problem, vs a Marquette team playing tough in the paint and surprisingly playing good D, which has not been the case over the last couple of seasons. Right now Maquette looks very balanced , and Im backing them here. Home court advantage has not been a real advantage lately with the road team winning the last 4 meetings, but today Im betting that changes.

MARQUETTE is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB- A home team (MARQUETTE) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 75-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Marquette to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Houston vs Oklahoma State
OVER 138 -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

You have to be able to put points up on the board to beat Oklahoma State, no matter how good a defence you might think you have. Yes, Houston can play lock down D, but they can also run and gun  when prompted which is what Im betting they will be forced into here today.  

CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON/OKLAHOMA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 85-42 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Louisville vs Indiana
Louisville
+6 -103 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana.

 Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets  there or  drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Western Michigan vs Youngstown State
Western Michigan
-2½ -107 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players   averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage.

 ST is 5-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss  are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Tulane vs South Alabama
Tulane
+2 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The South Alabama  Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane  Green Wave  who  currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team.

Play on Tulane  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 08, 2018
Rutgers vs Fordham
Rutgers
-7½ -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as  was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting.

FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Dec 08, 2018
Navy vs Army
UNDER 41½ -118 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 When Military Football Academies get together to play (Air Force, Navy, Army), points and offence are always lacking in what almost always results in a low scoring game . Its usually a war in the trenches, in what  is a take no prisoners physical confrontation. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE Im betting is on todays agenda. The UNDER is 32-8-1 for a 80% conversion rate since 2006. 

Play UNDER 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 09, 2018
VMI vs Chattanooga
VMI
+5 -108 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. 

The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

Play on VMI to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Dec 09, 2018
Pelicans vs Pistons
Pelicans
-1½ -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis  loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging  30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. 

DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Saints vs Bucs
Bucs
+10 -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

 The public is all over the Saints here this week against the lowly Bucs. But it must be noted from a long term historical trends perspective this type of fav bet is not a very good one as NFL Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less last game , which happened last time  out, are just 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that the Saints are just 3-4 in the stats battles in their L/7 and off a ugly loss to Dallas last week, Im betting we a have a public favourite that Im betting won't live up to expectations here on the road this week in TB a place where Drew Brees and company have lost their last two trips. 

HC Payton is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Bucks are 6-1 ATS L/7 as home dogs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3.

Take the points with the TB Bucs 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Falcons vs Packers
OVER 50 -115
Play Type: Premium

 These two teams are struggling despite of having very talented QBS. Green Bay has struggled so much they fired their long time coach McCarthy.  Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 4 straight. The quarterback matchup will be in the spotlight and Im betting will produce some offensive fireworks, as both teams look to blast off and out of their slumps with aggressive actions. It must be noted  the Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan's numbers do match his teams record as he has  completed 70.9 percent of his passes with 25 touchdowns, five interceptions and a 109.3 rating. Meanwhile, Rodgers considered one of the leagues top pivots is also  a streaky QB, but could explode and go at a run at any time . But from a historical standpoint one can see how talented he is by looking at how accurate and instinctive s he has been in his career having  thrown 336 consecutive passes without being picked off and is closing in on Tom Brady's NFL-record 358 record.

GREEN BAY is 12-1 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 8-1 OVER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 games in December.Over is 21-7 in Packers last 28 vs. NFC.Over is 12-3 in Packers last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

The last 3 meetings in this series have seen a combined  (67.3 ppg ) go on the board. 

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Panthers vs Browns
UNDER 47½ -110
Play Type: Premium

The Panthers QB Cam Newton is throwing alot of interceptions of late, and now this week I expect the Panthers to go to the ground a great deal and play hard fought defensive brand of physical football. It must be noted that Cleveland has gone UNDER 14 straight times when they are off a road game and facing a non-divisional opponent that has endured  a negative takeaway margin in each of their last two games, as long as they are not getting more than TD.The  Browns are  also 0-20 to the UNDER at home off an ATS loss by more than five points when they are facing a side that is under .600 on the season and they are not more than a FG favorite. Im expecting this to be a hard part affair that stays on the low side of the Total.

Panthers are 1-5 O/U vs NFC South and 1-4 O/U L5 non-conference  home game. The L/4 meetings in this series have seem a combined average of 32 ppg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER L/19 against NFC South division opponents with a combined average of 36.7 ppg scored.Williams is 7-0 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 32.2 ppg scored. 

NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 25-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Ravens vs Chiefs
Ravens
+7 -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

The KC Chiefs are explosive offensively but they have really struggled on D ranking 2nd to last last in the league . Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens own the best defense in the league and a viable enough offence to put a boat load full of points on the board vs this type of porous side. It must also be noted that the Ravens are strong  12-0  ATS L/12 as a underdog on a natural surface when they are playing a team with a better record than them and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs here. Baltimore is also 11-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.  Chiefs are fun to watch but they have some short comings, and as public favs look week in this spot. Remember despite of  10-2 this season,  5 wins have come vs dregs like  Browns,, Bengals, , Raiders ,Cardinals and 49ers. 

Baltimore has won their L/3 visits to KC and get the nod here again.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Panthers vs Browns
Panthers
-1 -115 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

Carolina has lost 4 straight games despite of winning the stats battles in the L/3 tilts and  are now .500 on the  season and desperately need a win here this week to have hopes of being in the NFL playoff picture.  This week I expect the Panthers get what they so desperately want, vs a Cleveland team that despite showing promise,  are being out gained  -63 YPG during the 2nd half of the season behind a 30th ranked defense .  note: HC Ron Rivera is 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS career mark during the final four games of the season when coming off a loss . Rivera is also 8-0 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of CAROLINA. 

CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS  vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR), after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game are 5-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Carolina to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Broncos vs 49ers
49ers
+6 -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

The Broncos at press time of this recommended investment option are 6-point favorites on the road against the San Francisco 49ers. The line was bet up  squarely from 3.5 on the opener, by public money, but after the rapid upswing in that movement ,sharp bettors came in with their money on the home underdog and rightly so based on line value alone. Despite of the Broncos current 3-0 run and the Niners dismal back to back blowout  losses at the hands of Seattle 43-16 last week and TB the week before 27-9  I still believe that the Niners can bounce back here at home or at least be very competitive. In the 49ers L/2 home efforts before the above mentioned road fiascos they beat up an up-trending Oakland side 34-3 and stayed very close vs a better than advertised NY Giants group 27-23. With that said , Im betting on the disrespected home dog, to stand tall here and get us the cover behind the arm of a improving QB Mullens who has  completed 64.5% of his passes for 1,147 yards, seven touchdowns, and  has also posted a 91.5 passer rating so far this season and must not be underestimated. I am also betting on a SF side that was ranked 10th vs the run before last Sundays tilt vs the Seahawks to rebound this week, and slow the Broncos key mode of moving the chains  running back Phillip Lindsay,

Broncos are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 14.Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Play on the 49ers to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.