Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - NBA- More than $95000 in dime player profits run ! NHL 126-90 58% run +$28000 dime players profits! .CBB 66-50 /7-2 L/9.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Pacific vs Santa Clara
Pacific
PK -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

According to my projections Pacific in their current form are the superior side and get the nod here on a pickem line in a revenge scenario.

The Tigers dropped , 57-69 decision at home on January 19, 2019 to Santa Clara, Pacific led for nearly 30 minutes in its first game vs Santa Clara, but ran out of gas. they will be much more prepared to keep the pedal to the medal this time around.

SANTA CLARA is 0-6 ATS in home games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 3 season whihc was the case last time out. PACIFIC is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 season.

PACIFIC is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PACIFIC) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 41-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pacific to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Tennessee vs Kentucky
Tennessee
+4 -107 at pinnacle
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

The Vols  are 4-point underdogs  in this spot-- which makes  for a greatly value wagering  situation behind the nation's No. 1 team . Tennessee is 11-0 in the SEC and winning league games by an average of 16.6 points per contest, but yet here we are getting points with them, as they face a behemoth public favourite. Don't get me wrong I have all the respect in the World for the Cats, but this is strictly a mathematical play, with a group that is every bit as good as the home side if not better. I know LSU is off a loss vs LSU, and are primed to bounce back and show the world the SEC is still theirs for the taking, but the Vols will not be an easy out, which makes for a viable wagering proposition.The Vols' 23-1 SU record features five wins over top-50 KenPom teams -- most notably neutral-court victories over Gonzaga and Louisville and will not give-up a 19-game winning streak easily vs Kentucky. Note:TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Harvard vs Pennsylvania
Harvard
+2 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 This 5-returning starter Harvard squad  played last night and got a win vs Princeton and are in top form.  These kids play smart, and will be ready to grab a victory on back to back nights and  are 6-2  ATS in the last eight matchups with Penn when playing without rest. With Harvard out looking to get revenge  for a loss in last seasons Ivy tournament 68-65 you can payback will be a priority here and a rally call for the Tide.   Note:HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

HC Donahue of Penn is 9-22 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games in all games and is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of PENNSYLVANIA.

Play on Harvard to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Iowa vs Rutgers
Rutgers
+3½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Iowa has had most of this week off and could be rusty here vs a pesky Rutgers side that is capable of upsetting anyone in the Big 10 in their current form.Note: HC McCaffery is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of IOWA and is 4-12 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights in took out Iowa 80-64 home win on Jan. 17, 2018 and get my support again getting points.  

Play on Rutgers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Northwestern vs Nebraska
UNDER 131 -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Both these  teams can  play hardcore  defense , as is evident by  the Cats ranking 36th in the nation allowing 64.8 PPG, and 18th vs the downtown 3-ball at 29.7%.On offence Northwestern ranks 300th ranked scoring offense and will once again struggle to score here vs a Huskers  side that are ranked 18th in the nation allowing teams to score only 63.4 PPG, and rank 29th in the nation allowing the opposition to make just 40.2%  of their FGs. Everything points to this being a fairly low scoring affair base don my own totals projections. 

NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER  after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

NORTHWESTERN is 23-12 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 season.NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 UNDER  after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 10-3 UNDER  against conference opponents this season.NORTHWESTERN is 20-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

740 Nebraska/ Northwestern UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Winthrop vs Gardner-Webb
Winthrop
-1 -111 at pinnacle
Lost
$111.0
Play Type: Premium

Eagles enter the game on a three-game winning streak vs Gardner-Webb a strong home team that is undefeated there this season. But Winthrop is a strong enough group to come out of this with a win. 

Winthrop is 4-1 on the road in league play and has won five of the last seven away from home and have to be respected. Winthrop is the league's top scoring team at 85.6 ppg and Gardner-Webb is third at 80.0. 

Eagles lead the  all-time series 22-9 overall and have won 10 straight in the series and get the nod again in a key conference game. 

Play on Winthrop to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
The Citadel vs Western Carolina
The Citadel
PK -108 at pinnacle
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium
Western Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Western Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

THE CITADEL is 10-2 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.HC Baucom is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game as the coach of THE CITADEL.

THE CITADEL is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 11-22 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (W CAROLINA) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

767 Citadel to cover /win

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Iowa State vs Kansas State
Iowa State
+3 -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Kansas State has won nine consecutive Big 12 games,  is at the top of the conference standings and are ranked in the top 20. but because of those lofty numbers and stats opponents see a big target on their backs and are coming at Kansas State with a lot of motivation. Kansas, Baylor and Texas came at the Wildcats with some huge intensity levels in each of the last three tilts. The Wildcats trailed at halftime in all three of those games and had to exert a tremendous amount   of energy to come back, and now Im betting all that tenacious work could easily go against them here, vs a Iowa State team that also has endless amounts of energy.The Cyclones are two games behind Kansas State in the standings and need a victory in this game in order to stay in the Big 12 race so they won't be easy outs here. 

 Iowa State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Xavier vs Providence
Xavier
+5½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Xavier suffered a 64-62 setback against Providence (14-11, 4-8) on Jan. 23 at Cintas Center and will have revenge on board here today in the rematch. Yes Xavier, is a below .500 team with a12-13 overall and 4-8 in the BIG EAST Conference record, and have been in a slump. However ,they did bounce back and snapped a six-game losing streak with a 64-61 overtime win over Creighton at Cintas Center on Wednesday and have some confidence and momentum on their sides entering this game vs a side they matchup well against . 

Friars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 1-4 ATS L/5 at home . The underdog is 4-0 L/4 overall meetings.

 639 Xavier to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Indiana vs Minnesota
Indiana
+4 -109 at BMaker
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Richard Pitino's Minnesota  is ranked  13th in the Big Ten in conference  in points per possession allowed, at more than 1.08. The Gophers don't force turnovers, they don't defend FG shooting well and their weak around the rim.  Minnesota has lost its last four games and are down trending in my power rankings making desperate Indiana a pick here for today getting points. 

INNESOTA is 7-23 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 42-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Texas A&M vs South Carolina
Texas A&M
+4 -107 at pinnacle
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

The Aggies (10-3, 3-8) have rebounded with consecutive victories including 3 straight covers and have  been competitive in recent losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee.  Today in this  Southeastern Conference basketball battle Im betting the Texas A&M  are primed to be competitive here today vs a South Carolina side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Im betting senior post Christian Mekowulu, who has recorded 30 points and 25 rebounds in the last two games to be the key to this game and a Aggies cover.

623 Texas A&M  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Oklahoma vs TCU
Oklahoma
+6 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three  and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. 

OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned  Frogs on the road in Fort Worth.

OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS  in all games this season. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on on Oklahoma to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Ohio vs Central Michigan
Ohio
+7½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience

Ohio to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Auburn vs Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
+9½ -115 at BMaker
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

 Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time  could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference  team that they maybe overlooking  . But  hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are  27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.