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Alex Smart Sports- NHL Play Off Moneyline Power Play - Tests 66% Run

The Carolina Canes  and Washington Capitals  go head to head in their do or die game 7 of their NHL play off series this Wednesday night. Join me as I explain how and why we cash this pro hockey MONEYLINE ticket and make the books pay for taking our action. Tests 45-23 66% NHL ML run ! Puck drops after 7:30  pm

*This package includes 1 NHL Money Line pick

Alex Smart Sports- NBA Play Off Side Blast - Tests 65%/72% Runs

The Utah Jazz and the Houston Rockets do battle in game 5 of their NBA play off series this Wednesday night. Which side has the edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our pro hoops action. Tests 65%L/33 NBA run and a 10-4 72% side conversion rate! Tips after 8:00 pm et

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

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**2014 NBA Champion!**
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 23, 2019
White Sox vs Orioles
White Sox
-133 at betonline
Lost
$133.0
Play Type: Premium

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)

The Chicago White Sox pounded the Orioles yesterday 12-2 and Im betting they come out here and get the job done again behind a up-trending offence. Note:  Baltimore is just 1-10  this season at home and now have dropped four in a row -- losing a three-game weekend series to the Minnesota Twins in Baltimore before the White Sox came in. 

The Pale Hose starter Nova is 8-4 in his career against the Orioles with a 4.98 ERA. He's made 17 starts and pitched in 18 contests and get my support here today.NOVA is 23-8  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 10-5 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like  the Os starting hulrer Cashner. 

The Orioles are 0-28 on the ML when their opponent's starter is a righty and has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season.

Play on the White Sox to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 23, 2019
Golden Knights vs Sharks
Sharks
-110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

Hertl  guaranteed that the Sharks would force a deciding Game 7 and then he ensured it would happen by scoring the game-winning short-handed goal in double overtime in Sunday night's 2-1 victory. With the momentum and home ice advantage in their favor Im betting they deliver to us a winning ticket tonight in San Jose. VEGAS is 5-12 ATS  revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals this season.

Play on San Jose to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 23, 2019
Golden Knights vs Sharks
UNDER 6 -102 Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

Game 7 , is a do or die for both teams. Neither one of these sides will be wanting to make mistakes, and will play this game in transition. After studying their game plan techniques , it makes sense for me to recommend an under wager here. 

SAN JOSE is 17-6 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 23, 2019
Spurs vs Nuggets
UNDER 212 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Now that this series is tied 2-2 Im betting we start to see this series turn much more physical as a proverbial dog fight unfolds. I know Denver has shown some offensive flow in the last few games, but they have been hitting 3s at a high rate, but only converting around the rim at a 47.8% clip and a regression must be expected according to my projections. Meanwhile, San Antonio has only taken shots from beyond the arc in 18.3 % of their possessions and continually look to push the ball inside which indicates a concerted effort to dig in play physical ball and do their offensive work around the rim. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers and public might expect.

Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 road games.Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 vs. Western Conference.

Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. .Under is 11-3 in Nuggets last 14 home games.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 23, 2019
Magic vs Raptors
Raptors
-11½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1

 Since game 2 of this series the Raptors have absolutely dominated and dismantled the young Magic and Im betting nothing changes tonight in TO. The Raptors are cleaning the glass at a high rate, not allowing open 3s and just plain old showing us all how dangerous and deep they are. This matchup reminds me alot of the  lopsided Milwaukee /Detroit series . Note: The Raptors Net Rating +23.7 which is almost on par with the Bucks. 

TORONTO is 9-0 ATS  in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg.

In the L/14 seasons, chalk  favored by double-digits in  Game 5 are 25-1 SU, with the average wining point diff clicking in at 14.4 points per game

Play on Toronto to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 23, 2019
Thunder vs Blazers
Blazers
-3 -110 at Mirage
Tie
Play Type: Premium

The Thunder showed  flashes of brilliance earlier this season, and even before the play offs started I looked at them as a possible dark horse contender. But in never ending chase for value and a readjustment on my estimated market price attached to them, I changed my opinion. The Thunder continue to struggle with their shooting , and they just dont look like they have an answer for McCollum and and Lillard and with Paul George struggling with nagging injuries and his  lack flow for long periods of time, it very much looks like their party is over. I know the public loves the Thunder, but there comes a time when illusion transgresses back into reality. 

PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-15 ATS  after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less  TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 138-37 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with a point differential of 7.9 ppg clicking in! 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 55-12 L/22 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 8.8 ppg whihc qualifies as value on this spread. 

Portland to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.