Larry Ness Larry Ness
10* PERFECT STORM (4-0 TY) and Weekend Wipeout (3-1 TY) set in MLB (PERFECT STORM is a day contest). All MLB 2013, +$5,037 YTD. All NBA is 67-50, +$12,674 s/Oct 30 and NBA "Big Plays" are 22-10 YTD. NBA 10* GOW set.
Larry's NBA 10* Weekend Wipeout (+$13,674 s/Oct 30)

Larry enters Sunday on a 4-game winning streak with top-rated NBA 10*s. He won his NBA 10* Game of the Week last night on the Mavs, an OUTRIGHT underdog winner, moving to 23-10, 70% with NBA "Big Plays (GOW, GOM & "signatures") YTD. Larry enters Sunday 68-50, +$13,647 with all NBA plays s/Oct 30 & caps the week with a 10* Weekend Wipeout. BE THERE!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

Larry's MLB Best Bet Situational Stunner-ESPN

Larry opened MLB 2020 by earning a profit in each of the 1st two weeks. However, this week has been a series of one-run wins & losses. He enters Sunday 7-7 but since he DOES not play big favorites, he's only down $470 (at $100/unit). A 2-1 Sunday would get him over the "Mendoza Line' but he expects a 3-0 sweep. Best Bet Situational Stunner on ESPN!

*This package includes 1 MLB Money Line pick

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*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 MLB, 1 NBA)

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*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 MLB, 1 NBA)

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TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry is widely regarded as one of the World's leading handicappers. He's been nothing short of electric since coming on this site. Big things are expected in 2018 Wagering Season!

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 MLB, 1 NBA)

1 YEAR ALL INCLUSIVE LARRY NESS

You'd be hard pressed to find a more experienced handicapper than 34 year legend Larry Ness! Larry has put up some impressive numbers on this site since coming over almost two years ago and he's ready to offer up all of the next year for one LOW LOW FLASH SALE PRICE!

Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series! 

 

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 MLB, 1 NBA)

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 09, 2020
Twins vs. Royals
Twins
-155
  at  5DIMES
started
My free play is on the Min Twins at 2:05 ET. Minnesota won the AL Central in 2019 by EIGHT games over Cleveland, finishing 101-61. It earned the franchise its first 100-win season since 1965, a year the Twins lost a seven-game World Series to Sandy Koufax and the LA Dodgers. Minnesota's lineup scored the second-highest run total in the majors (939), while leading all teams in HRs (307 represented a major league record!) and RBI. The Twins opened the 2020 season 10-2 but lost Thursday 6-5 at Pittsburgh, when the Pirates scored twice in the 9th. The Twins have gone on to lose the first two of their three-game series at KC, 3-2 and 9-6. The Royals, who played in back-to-back World Series in 2014 and 2015 (winning in 20165), opened the current season off FOUR straight non-winning years. KC lost 104 games in 2018 and 103 in 2019. The Royals opened MLB 2020 by going 3-10 but have now won THREE in a row, scoring 25 runs in those wins. What's going on? The Twins hope to salvage the series finale on Sunday, sending Jose Berrios (1-1, 4.80 ERA) to the mound on Sunday. is coming off a Berrios 14-8 (3.68 ERA) season in 2019), when he matched his career-high win total en route to earning his second straight All-Star berth while reaching 200 innings for the first time in his four-year career. Berrios pitched six innings of one-run ball (four hits) in picking up his first win against Pittsburgh this past Tuesday. After allowing five ERs in just four innings in his 2020 debut, he's allowed just three ERs in his last two starts over 11 innings (2.45 ERA). KC counters Berrios with rookie Brady Singer (0-1, 4.80 ERA), who will be making his fourth start. He's still looking for his first win, although KC has won TWO of his three starts. Singer has 15 Ks in his 15 innings (5 IP in each start) but he's also allowed two HRs in each of his last two outings. This marks his first start vs Minnesota, while Berrios is 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA against the Royals in 13 career starts (Twins are just 5-8).  Bottom line is, I just DON'T see the Twins losing all three in KC. Berrios has looked steady in his last two outings (see above) plus Singer has had trouble with giving up 'the long ball,' not a good sign when facing Minnesota's lineup (25 HRs in 15 games). Twins avoid the sweep with a win. Good luck...Larry
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Aug 08, 2020
Bucks vs Mavs
Mavs
+5 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

 My 10* Game of the Week is on the Dal Mavs at 8:35 ET.

The Dallas Mavericks have lost THREE of their first four games in the Orlando 'bubble.' The team played three straight highly competitive contests (a 153-149 OT loss to Houston, a 117-115 loss to Phoenix and then a 114-110 OT win against SA), before getting blown out 126-111 by the Clippers on Thursday. The 41-30 Mavs are almost 'locked into' the West's No. 7 and their likely first-round opponent will be the Clippers (not exactly something to look forward to). The Milwaukee Bucks are an NBA-best 55-14, although they've played back-to-back 'curious' games. The Bucks lost 119-116 to the injury-riddled Nets on Tuesday, as 19-point favorites (the contest ranks as the NBA's largest point spread upset in 27 years and according to ESPN, teams favored by 19 or more had gone 49-2 SU over the past 30 years). They then fell behind by as many as 23 points to the Miami Heat on Thursday (Heat were without Butler and Dragic), only to come back to earn the 130-116 win (AND cover!). Milwaukee is just 2-2 since the season resumed.

A closer look into that loss to the Nets reveals that Giannis only played the first half as head coach Mike Budenholzer decided to rest some of his starters (no Milwaukee starter played more than 20 minutes against Brooklyn). Not sure I want to guess what Budenholzer's strategy will be these last four games, as the Bucks have wrapped up the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. As for the Mavs, they could sure use a confidence builder. Completing a two-game season sweep of the Bucks may be "just what the doctor ordered." Dallas ended Milwaukee's 18-game winning streak 120-116 back on Dec 16 on the Bucks' home floor. Revenge for Milwaukee? As noted above, do they really have any motivation for that? There hasn't been a better 'one-two punch' in Orlando than Doncic (32.8-11.0-9.8) and Porzingis (30.3 & 10.0) and I'm expecting another OUTRIGHT win. I had OKC plus-6 in that 105-86 of the Lakers on Weds and Boston plus-3 in its 122-100 win over Toronto, last night. Good things always come in threes!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 08, 2020
Tigers vs Pirates
UNDER 9½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Det/Pit Under at 4:05 ET.

The Detroit Tigers had their four-game series with St Louis postponed due to the Cardinals' coronavirus outbreak (Mon-Thu), so Friday's game at Pittsburgh was the team's first on the field action since the Tigers lost a doubleheader (both 7-inning games) last Sunday to the Reds. The Tigers took a 5-5 record into last night's contest in Pittsburgh, facing a Pirates team that owned MLB's worst record (3-10). What 'broke out' last night was an 11-inning slugfest in which the Tigers won 17-13 (both teams had 16 hits).

The series continues late Saturday afternoon, as Ivan Nova (0-0, 4.22 ERA) takes on Derek Holland (0-0, 4.76 ERA). I will make this short and 'SWEET!' Neither Nova nor Holland are anything more than journeymen but Nova pitched for the Pirates from 2016-18 and has made 31 career starts at PNC Park, posting a 2.75 ERA. Holland has a 4.96 ERA in nine career starts vs the Pirates but his teams have gone 7-2. Expect both starters to fair well here, after last night's offensive 'explosion.' Let me remind all that Detroit entered last night's game averaging 3.80 RPG on the season, while Pittsburgh entered averaging 3.46 RPG. This game is Goin' Under!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 08, 2020
Diamondbacks vs Padres
Padres
-149 at pinnacle
Lost
$149.0
Play Type: Premium

My 8* Weekend Wipeout is on the SD Padres at 9:10 ET.

The San Diego Padres are coming off a 70-92 season in 2019 (36 games back of LA) but they are hoping that a shortened 60-game season (and an expanded playoff format) will allow them to break a drought of 13 consecutive non-playoff years, as well as NINE straight losing seasons. The Arizona Diamondbacks went 85-77 last season but that still left them 21 games back of the Dodgers in the NL West, as well as four games out of the NL's last wild card spot. Arizona does not expect to end LA's 'hold' on the NL West (Dodgers have won seven straight division titles) but with MLB expanding its postseason field from 10 to 16 teams, the D'backs entered the season feeling as if a playoff berth was MORE than realistic. 

These two NL West foes opened the current season with the Padres winning THREE of four at Petco Park and the schedule has the two teams back in San Diego for a three-game series this weekend. Zach Davies retired the first 13 Arizona batters he faced last night and took a perfect game into the fifth before giving up consecutive one-out singles. The Padres would claim the victory 3-0, as they moved to 4-1 vs the D'backs this season, San Diego is 8-6 overall, 2 1/2 games back of the surprising Colorado Rockies. As for the D'backs, they are 5-9 (last in the NL West), with a record better than only the 3-11 Pirates in the NL. Not EXACTLY the start hoped for.

Merrill Kelly (1-1, 2.63 ERA) gets the start Saturday night for Arizona, while Chris Paddack (2-0, 2.65 ERA) is set to make his fourth start of the season for San Diego. Kelly took a no-hit bid into the seventh inning at Texas on July 28 and he was 3-1 with a 3.71 ERA in five starts against San Diego in 2019 (D'backs were 3-2), including winning his MLB debut on April 1, allowing three runs in six innings of a 10-3 victory. The Padres are 2-1 in Paddack's first three starts of 2019, with both wins coming at home. That's NO surprise as in his one-plus seasons in the majors, Paddack has seen the Padres win

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 09, 2020
Marlins vs Mets
Mets
-1½ -109 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Run-Line Rout is on the NY Mets at 1:10 ET

I saw where Karl Ravech tweeted, "The Marlins story of 2020 is so unfathomable yet steering the ship on field and navigating the challenges off it Don Mattingly has been the perfect voice." It's hard to disagree but let's NOT forget that the 2019 Marlins went an NL-worst 57-105. Miami didn't play from July 27 through August 3, after 18 players tested positive for the coronavirus. However, the Marlins missed out on a chance to match the best nine-game start in franchise history on Saturday night, when their six-game winning streak was snapped as the Mets hit three HRs in an 8-4 victory. The victory was just New York's THIRD, in a 10-game stretch (Mets are just 6-9, while the Marlins are 7-2).

Pablo Lopez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) is scheduled to become the first Marlins pitcher to make a second start this season, as Miami is the first team in baseball history to start a different pitcher in each of the season's first nine games. The Mets will counter with two-time reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom (1-0, 2.12), who is making his fourth start of the year. Lopez is in his third season with Miami and comes off a 2019 season in which he made 21 starts, going 5-8 with a 5.09 ERA (Marlins were 7-14 in his starts). He did earn the win in his season debut Tuesday, when the Marlins returned to action and he allowed two hits while striking out seven over five innings in a 4-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles. He is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three career starts against the Mets.

DeGrom is trying to become just the third pitcher, after Hall of Famers Greg Maddux and Randy Johnson, to win three straight Cy Young Awards. He has picked up where he left off last season, allowing just 12 baserunners in 17 innings. He owns a 2.12 ERA and an 0.71 WHIP (22-3 KW ratio), while holding opposing batter to a .153 BAA. Holding down an opponent is rarely the problem when deGrom takes the mound, rather it's the Mets' inability to get him runs in support. However, the Mets did give him SEVEN runs last Tuesday against the Braves (his 1st "W" of 2020) and I'm NOT 'buying into' the Marlins being a serious contender. I noted the team's 2019 record above and will add that  Miami batted .241 as a team (25th) and averaged 3.8 RPG (29th of 30 teams) over the entire 2019 season. Expect deGrom to shut Miami down and for the Mets to give him enough support to 'cover' laying the 1 1/2 runs.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 09, 2020
Yankees vs Rays
Rays
-108 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Game of the Week is on the TB Rays at 1:10 ET.

The New York Yankees had a SEVEN-game winning streak (July 26-Aug 3) but will face the Rays on Sunday in the final contest of this four-game series, having lost FOUR of six. The Rays opened the season 4-1 (all games at home) but then lost FIVE in a row (all on the road). The Rays returned home and split two games with Boston and have now taken TWO of three to New York (loss came vs Gerrit Cole, who is 0-4).

The pitching matchup for the series finale will be New York's James Paxton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) and Tampa's Charlie Morton(1-1, 5.52 ERA). 2019 was Paxton's first with the Yankees and ended July just 5-6 with a 4.72 ERA. However, he then went 10-0 over his final 11 regular season starts (NYY were 11-0), posting a 1.05 ERA in five September starts. His 29 starts, 18 wins and 251 Ks were all career highs (held opponents to a .210 BA). Paxton was recovering from a back injury when MLB was shut down back in March but New York said he was fully recovered when play began in late-July. Then again, maybe not. He pitched just ONE inning in his season debut at Washington on July 25 (allowed five hits and three ERs) and in his second start (Aug 2 vs Boston), made it through just three innings while allowing five runs (three earned) on seven hits.

Morton turned his career around after signing with Houston in 2017, going 29-10 in 2017-18. That got him a two-year, $30 million deal with Tampa Bay and Morton went 16-6, 3.05 ERA in 2019 for the Rays. He made his second All Star team last year plus set career highs in wins (16), ERA (3.05), innings (?194.2) and in strikeouts (240). He also led all major league pitchers in HRs/9 innings pitched, at 0.694.[29]. However, Morton allowed six ERs (4 IP) in his first start of 2020 and was better in his second, allowing two ERs over five innings. He then looked more like himself this past Tuesday against Boston, when he allowed one run in 5.2 innings Tuesday. He gave up a HR to Mitch Moreland in the second inning and then retired nine of the last 10 hitters (Rays won, 5-1).

The Yanks got bad news on Saturday, as Giancarlo Stanton tweaked his hamstring on a slide at second base during New York's 5-3 loss in yesterday's second game of the doubleheader. Here's the rub. The Rays are at home this season, giving them a 22-5 record in their last 27 regular-season home games! Paxton is pitching on six days' rest but is he really healthy? He has yet to complete three innings in each of his first two starts. As for Morton, he is 2-0 with an 0.77 ERA in two starts against the Yankees at Tropicana Field, where New York has lost SIX of its last seven!

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 65 (turns 66 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 36th year as a professional handicapper in August of 2019.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET). 36-Club Play: It represents Larry's 36 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season. LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s). Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s). Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s). Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports). PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price). Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price). Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!". Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."