Larry Ness Larry Ness
Tues: MLB doubleheader (see promos). Larry's on a 53-34 (61%) MLB run s/July 4th (+$11,201 at $100/unit). FB 2019 is here. 2018 FB: 63-40-1, +$17,755 in CFB's reg season and 72-56-5, +$9,709 in the NFL reg season.
Larry's 10* Battle 4 Florida-Fla vs Mia (+$17,755 CFB 2018!)

Larry's earned a profit in THREE of the L4 CFB seasons. He opened 2017 with Colo St (+2.5), a 58-27 winner over Ore St and opened 2018 with Hawaii (+14), an OUTRIGHT 43-34 winner over Colo St. Larry NEVER looked back in 2018, ending the regular season 63-40-1, earning a profit of $17,755 at $100/unit! He kicks off 2019 with "The Battle 4 Florida!"

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

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Get 7 days of plays from 32-year handicapping veteran Larry Ness! Ness is expecting a massive profit haul throughout the calendar year, make sure you're on board, get EVERY play, EVERY day for an entire week!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

1 MONTH ALL PICKS FROM RED HOT LARRY NESS!

TAKE FULL ADVANTAGE! Larry is widely regarded as one of the World's leading handicappers. He's been nothing short of electric since coming on this site. Big things are expected in 2018 Wagering Season!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

1 YEAR ALL INCLUSIVE LARRY NESS

You'd be hard pressed to find a more experienced handicapper than 34 year legend Larry Ness! Larry has put up some impressive numbers on this site since coming over almost two years ago and he's ready to offer up all of the next year for one LOW LOW FLASH SALE PRICE!

Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series! 

 

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 19, 2019
Brewers vs Cardinals
Cardinals
-117 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the StL Cardinals at 7:45 ET.

The St Louis Cardinals came out of the All Star break by losing to Arizona but then won 12 of their next 14 to take over the top spot in the NL Central at 56-47. The Cardinals still held a slim lead in the division at 58-50 in games played through August 1 but a winless five-game West Coast trip in which the team totaled just SEVEN runs (two losses to Oakland and three against the LA Dodgers), left the Cards at 58-55. However, the Cards rebounded to win FIVE in a row, before splitting a four-game series at Cincinnati this past weekend. As the Cards get set to welcome the Brewers to St Louis (for three games), they are 66-57 (.533), a mere percentage point ahead of the 66-58 (.532) Cubs for the NL Central lead. Milwaukee comes to town off a 15-14 (14 inn) win at Washington on Saturday, followed by a 16-8 loss on Sunday. The 64-60 Brewers are two games back of the Cards and Cubs in teh division. They are also tied with the Phillies and Mets, two games back of the final wild card spot and 3 1/2 games back of the No. 1 wild card spot (held by the Nats).

That sets the stage is set for this important three-game series. Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA) will take the mound for Milwaukee, opposed by the Cards' Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82 ERA). Davies will come off the injured list to make his first start since August 2. He opened the season 7-0 (2.41 ERA) after 13 starts (team was 9-4) but he has since gone 1-4 over his last 10 outings (team went 4-6). Davies lost THREE in a row, allowing 17 ERs on 20 hits over just 13 innings in a three-start stretch before back spasms landed him on the DL. How will he fare here?

Hudson rebounded from a rough three-outing stretch to deliver six scoreless innings in a 6-0 win at Kansas City on Wednesday. He was 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA over his previous three outings (team was 1-2) , while giving up 19 hits and seven walks in just 11.2 innings. However, the rookie had posted an 8-1 record and 3.13 ERA over a two-plus month stretch from mid-May to late July (Cards won 11 of his 12 starts in that stretch).

Here's what Davies had to say regarding his back stiffness. "I think I'll be tight and sore in between starts. That's the nature of it," he told MLB.com. "But we can manage it. We can work on it and be good to go for each start from here on out. I've talked to a lot of people, and it's kind of based on my mechanics. I think it blocked me out and put a lot of stress on my lower back. Getting back to the last couple of months of 2017 with my motion and mechanics is where I want to be, and where I think I'll be healthy." That's hardly a convincing argument to me plus let me add that Milwaukee used 10 pitchers in Saturday's extra-inning affair and four in the series finale, as the staff combined to give up 30 runs and 37 hits with 14 walks over the two games. Instead, Ill back Hudson, who has remarkably allowed three ERs or less in 22 of his 24 starts in 2019. Blowout alert!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFLX  |  Aug 19, 2019
49ers vs Broncos
Broncos
-1 -110 at Mirage
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* NFLX Monday Night Game of the Year is on the Den Broncos at 8:00 ET.

The 49ers had some high hopes for 2018 after finishing hot the previous season, but the team was riddled with injuries to key players, most notably QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Garoppolo is expected to be available by the start of the regular season and as I noted in taking the 49ers (over the Cowboys) in NFLX Week 1, San Francisco should have one of the better backup QB battles in the league. C.J. Beathard (10 starts) and Nick Mullens (eight starts) have both "had their moments" in regular season action. Beathard was 13 of 17 for 141 yards and Mullens 11 of 17 for 105 vs Dallas, (each had a TDP and an INT). The 48ers' D held Dallas scoreless in the second half and the 49ers won 17-9.

The Broncos went 5-11 and 6-10 under Van Joseph and he was 'shown the door.' Vic Fangio was hired in January and it's his first head coaching job. Fangio is known as a terrific DC and his defenses have consistently been among the most productive in the NFL in a number of categories, including scoring defense, total yards allowed and fewest penalties. His defenses have ranked in the league’s top-five in yards allowed in eight of the last 12 years, while placing in the NFL’s top-5 in fewest points allowed seven times over that span

The Broncos eked out a 14-10 HOF game win over the Falcons but as all know, EVERYONE beats Atlanta in the preseason recently (Falcons are 0-11 since 2017). The Broncos then lost 22-14 in Week 1 at Seattle but as most know as well, Pete Carroll is one of the NFL's best preseason coaches. Joe Flacco will be Denver's starting QB come the regular season but he won't see much time this preseason but I would expect him to see some action in Denver's 'home opener,' which is also Fangio's first home game. Drew Lock completed 17 of 28 for 180 yards (TD and INT) last week and is playing a lot in these preseason games, getting familiar with the offense and what is expected of him.

San Francisco's Kyle Shanahan has now won each of his first three NFLX Week 1 games as the Niners' head coach but note the last two preseasons, he's 1-5 SU the other six. He almost HAS to win to cover in this contest and I believe the motivation all sides with the home team in this one.

Good luck...Larry

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 20, 2019
Padres vs Reds
Reds
-160 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

My 7* Las Vegas Insider is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET.

The 59-65 San Diego Padres beat the 58-66 Cincinnati Reds 3-2 last night and the teams meet in the second contest of this three-game series tonight at Great American Ball Park. The Padres have won three straight (all on the road) and are one win shy of matching a season high for consecutive victories on the road. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has now lost SEVEN of its last nine. The season has less than 40 games remaining and both teams are all but out of any serious playoff consideration, as San Diego is SEVEN games back and Cincinnati EIGHT games back of the NL's final wild card spot.

On the mound tonight will be San Diego's Cal Quantrill (6-3, 3.23 ERA) and Cincy's Sonny Gray (8-6, 2.98 ERA). Quantrill is having an impressive rookie season. This marks his 18th appearance, and his 13th start. The 24-year-old has lost just ONCE in his last 14 outings (nine starts). His MLB debut was May 1 and the Padres lost his first three starts (Quantrill was 0-2), posting a 5.40 ERA. However, in the above-mentioned span, he's shaved more than TWO runs off his ERA. He owns a 61-19 KW ratio, 1.12 WHIP and .230 BAA on the season. As for Cincy's Gray, he's pitched MUCH better than his won-loss record reflects. He's allowed two ERs or less in SIX of seven starts since his All-Star appearance (Reds are 6-1) and going back over his last 16 starts, he is 8-2 and the Reds have gone 13-3. That's quite a turnaround from him going 0-4 with a 4.15 ERA over his first NINE starts of 2019 (Reds were 3-6).

As noted, Quantrill has been impressive but Gray is on quite a roll. He's allowed just 98 hits in his 132.2 innings this season, posting a 154-50 KW ratio. That gives him a 1.12 WHIP and he boasts a .206 batting average against. He enters tonight's game 5-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last nine outings (Reds are 7-2). Gray gets the Reds "even" in this series.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Aug 20, 2019
Phillies vs Red Sox
Red Sox
-111 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET.

The Boston Red Sox welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Fenway for a two-game IL series tonight. Boston currently owns MLB's longest-active winning streak (a modest five in a row) but at 67-59, find themselves a WHOPPING 16 games back of the hated-Yankees in the AL East. There are still 36 games left in Boston's season, so at least the Red Sox can hope (dream?) about a wild card berth. Boston is SIX games back of that second AL card spot. The Phillies are coming off Saturday and Sunday home losses to the Padres leaving them 64-60. Their division hopes are fading VERY quickly, as Philadelphia is NINE games back of Atlanta in the NL East. However, the disappointing Philies (along with the Mets), are just TWO games back of the Cubs for the NL's second wild card spot.

Tuesday's pitching matchup will be Philly's Aaron Nola (11-3, 3.56 ERA) and Boston lefty Brian Johnson (1-1, 6.45 ERA). Nola was Philly's Opening Day starter, coming off a 17-6 (2.37 ERA) season in which the Phils went 22-11 in his starts, giving him MLB's 12th-best moneyline mark of +$983. He enters this contest 11-3 in 26 starts on the season (team is 17-9 but a modest plus-$385), although he's lost just ONE decision since June 21. He's 5-1 over his last 10 starts (team is 8-2), allowing one ER or less in SEVEN of those 10 starts. Johnson takes the mound tonight in place of Chris Sale, who reportedly received positive news on Monday after his meeting with Dr. James Andrews confirmed a previous diagnosis of inflammation on his ailing left elbow. Johnson last pitched Wednesday, when he allowed one unearned run on three hits in 2 .2 innings of a no-decision at Cleveland (Red Sox won, 5-1). This marks his 11th appearance of 2019 (sixth start).

One can easily make the argument that Phily owns a pitching edge here with Nola over Johnson but note that Nola's road ERA (4.63) is more than 1 1/2 runs higher than his home ERA (2.94). Nola will take the mound against a Boston lineup which has scored 38 runs during its five-game winning streak (7.6 per) and one which has averaged 6.05 RPG in Fenway this season. Yes, Johnson is hardly a quality starter, but the lefty faces a Philly lineup which has gone just 5-15 against left-handed starers on the road in 2019 (that's a 71% "go-against), while averaging a WOEFUL 3.4 RPG. Boston makes it SIX straight wins, tonight!

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 63 (turns 64 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 34th year in the industry in August of 2017.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline, the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network). Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 30-plus years, you get good at it."

34-Club Play: It represents Larry's 34 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, through the internet. Like his 34-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He just started releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since, to all sports (rated 8, 9 or 10*s).

Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 34 years, Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than two decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 8 and 10*s).

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Almost every Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL) this football season, get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!"

Release Times: Larry likes to release his picks early so that clients have as much time as possible to shop around. NFL and College Football plays are posted very early in the week (sometimes almost up to a week in advance.) NBA, College hoops and NHL are all posted the day before the game goes off. And the same goes for MLB, with selections posted the night before the game. Sometimes life gets in the way and Ness won't release until the morning of the game, but for the majority of the year Larry likes to say: "The earlier the better!" 

Sports and conferences he excels at handicapping: MLB is Larry's favorite sports to handicap, saying the money is in the statistics. He 'loves' the daily action and the long season. "If I had to pick one sport, I would chose baseball because you’re playing pitchers, streaks, teams that are hot and cold," Ness says. "I also love the NBA and NFL playoffs, the college bowl games plus the college basketball tourneys, which are seasons unto themselves."

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."