Frank Sawyer Frank Sawyer
Frank Sawyer is 4-1 so far in the Big Dance on Sunday to improve his RED HOT 10 of 13 (77%) NCAA Tourney run -- and now he UNLEASHES his 25* CBB Bailout Game of the Year tonight! DON'T MISS OUT!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Cal-Irvine vs Oregon
UNDER 127 -105 Tie
Play Type: Free

Take Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters and the Oregon Ducks. UC-Irvine (31-5) comes off a 70-64 upset win over Kansas State as a 4-point underdog on Friday. The Anteaters have allowed only 64 points in two straight games — and they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. UC-Irvine has also played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total as a pick ‘em or underdog on a neutral court. Oregon (24-12) comes off a 72-54 upset win over Wisconsin getting 2 points on Friday. The Ducks have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Oregon has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is a NEAR PERFECT 4-1 so far on Sunday in the NCAA Tournament with hopefully everyone grabbing Virginia Tech at -8.5 points (with -9s and late -9.5s out there as well) to improve a RED HOT 10 of 13 (77%) CBB run over the last three days! Frank DELIVERED his 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Total of the Year with the Washington-North Carolina Under earlier today — and now he concludes his busy Sunday card with the UC-Irvine-Oregon ATS winner on TBS-TV at 9:40 PM ET which is his 25* CBB Bailout Game of the Year! Want ONE MORE WINNER for Sunday? BANK on Frank!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Cal-Irvine vs Oregon
Cal-Irvine
+5 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the UC-Irvine Anteaters (873) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (874). THE SITUATION: UC-Irvine (31-5) has won seventeen straight games after the upset Kansas State on Friday by a 70-64 score as a 4-point underdog. Oregon (24-12) has won nine straight games after they upset Wisconsin on Friday by a 72-54 score as a 2-point underdog. This South regional game is being played in San Jose.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ANTEATERS PLUS THE POINTS: UC-Irvine will enter this game with tons of confidence that they can advance to the Sweet Sixteen. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. This team thrives with their play on defense. They lead the nation by holding their opponents to just a 40.7% shooting percentage inside the arc as they are buoyed by three giant rim protectors 6’9 or taller led by the 6’10 Jonathan Galloway. They held Kansas State on Friday to just a 43.7% shooting clip inside the arc. Head coach Russell Turner ensures that at least one of these three players is on the court at all times. The Anteaters also defend the perimeter as they hold their opponents to just a 33.2% shooting percentage inside the arc. UC-Irvine is also a quality offensive team that does plenty of things well on that side of the court. With their size, the Anteaters are 32nd in the nation by pulling down 33.5% of their missed shots. UC-Irvine led the Big West Conference by making 52.4% of their shots inside the arc — and they make a healthy 36.1% of their 3-pointers. The Anteaters play at the 275th slowest pace in the nation — yet they still manage to score 72.8 PPG. Over their last six games, UC-Irvine has raised their scoring average to 82.6 PPG. This balance on offense and defense has helped them cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Anteaters have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 11 games with the Total set at 129.5 or lower, UC-Irvine has covered the point spread 10 times. Dana Altman has done a great job with his Oregon team. His decision at the beginning of the Pac-12 season to have his team press more was an effective way to create more scoring opportunities for his challenged shooting team. The Ducks’ defense also improved when Altman inserted the 6’9 freshman Francis Okoro into the starting lineup. But winning eight games in a row against suspect Pac-12 competition needs to be taken with a grain of salt. And while I strongly endorsed Wisconsin to cover the point spread on Friday, I was anxious to bet against them in this round given the deterioration of Ethan Happ’s game for the Badgers (his shooting woes had become a negative). I think the Oregon bubble gets burst against this outstanding Anteaters defense. The Ducks made 54.9% of their shots against Wisconsin which was the best shooting effort for them in their last thirteen games. Oregon ranks 99th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and that number drops to 129th in the nation when they playing away from Eugene. This Ducks team just does not do many things well on that side of the court. They ranked 9th in the Pac-12 with an effective field goal percentage of 51.0 while ranking 7th in that mediocre conference in offensive rebounding rate and 11th in getting to the free throw line. They also made only 66.7% of their free throws in conference play. Oregon has made 9 of 11 and 20 of 22 shots at the charity stripe in each of their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after making at least 78% of their free throws in two straight games. The Ducks have only scored 25 and 28 points in the first half of their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to score at least 30 points in the first half of their last two games. Oregon was 2nd in the Pac-12 by forcing turnovers in 21.9% of their opponent’s possessions — but UC-Irvine turned the ball in just 16.0% of their possessions in conference play. The Anteaters allow only 63.3 PPG — and the Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games against teams who do not allow more than 64 PPG. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court as a favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points, Oregon has failed to cover the point spread 8 times.

FINAL TAKE: Oregon plays at the 318th slowest pace in the nation — so this shapes up to be a slog between two strong defensive teams. The Ducks are overrated by those observers who failed to appreciate the moves Altman made to make his team better during conference play. This should be a coin flip game that the Anteaters can pull out — making their 4-5 points as the underdog very valuable. 25* CBB Bailout Game of the Year with the UC-Irvine Anteaters (873) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (874). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Ohio State vs Houston
Houston
-5½ -110 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 8:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (872) minus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (871). THE SITUATION: Houston (32-3) has won five of their last six games with their 84-55 win over Georgia State on Friday as a 12.5-point favorite. Ohio State (20-14) joins them in the Round of 32 with their 62-59 upset win over Iowa State as a 5-point underdog on Friday. This Midwest regional contest takes place in Tulsa.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston is underrated — they are one of the few teams in the nation ranked in the top-25 in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (12th in the nation) and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (22nd in the nation). Remember that this team was a miracle Jordan Poole buzzer-beating shot for Michigan away from reaching the Sweet Sixteen last year. The Cougars are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. What is impressive about this team is how good they play away from home. According to the deeper metrics, Houston ranks 3rd in the country in the net efficiency improvement when playing away from home on neutral courts or true road games. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on a neutral court. Houston has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. Ohio State is likely due for a letdown after their upset victory. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. The Buckeyes only made 39.7% of their shots against the Cyclones yet still upset that Jekyll-and-Hyde team. Ohio State was second-to-last in the Big Ten in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 188th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 50.3% — and their eFG drops to a 47.1% mark when playing away from home which is 281st worst in the country. Over their last five games, the Buckeyes are making only 38.7% of their shots. This spells trouble against this elite Houston defense that has the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in the nation at 42.1%. The Cougars have the second best opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage of 27.5% — and they have held their last five opponents to just a 31.6% shooting percentage overall. The problem for Ohio State in this game is that they do not put up a ton of shots either — they rank just 77th out of all power conference teams in Shot Volume that measures offensive rebounding and turnover rates. The Buckeyes do not get to the free throw line either as they rank 167th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 33.7%. Ohio State has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games in the NCAA Tournament.

FINAL TAKE: The Buckeyes will struggle to get points in this game — and they will be facing a much more consistent team than they did on Friday. 20* CBB Ohio State-Houston TNT Special with the Houston Cougars (872) minus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (871). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Oklahoma vs Virginia
UNDER 127 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 7:45 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (861) and the Virginia Cavaliers (862). THE SITUATION: Virginia (30-3) has won ten of their last eleven games after they rallied from an anxious first half to dispatch of Gardner Webb by a 71-56 score as a 22-point favorite on Friday. Oklahoma (20-13) comes off a 95-72 upset victory over Mississippi on Friday as a 1-point underdog. This South regional game is being played on a neutral court in Columbia, South Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sooners made 57.6% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last four games while scoring the most points that they have all season. They may not reach half that amount tonight against the Cavs’ difficult Pack-Line defense. Despite Virginia leading the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 27.5% outside the arc, the most effective way to break their defense is to shoot over the Pack-Line from the outside (there is a reason why Tony Bennett’s defense is so good). Oklahoma is unlikely to get the job done here as they are just 168th in the nation by making only 34.5% of their 3-pointers. The Sooners ranked 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while ranking 58th in the nation overall in that metric. This teams also ranks just 66th in the nation amongst power conference foes in Shot Volume that takes into account Offensive Rebounding and Turnover percentages. Oklahoma has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Sooners have also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while their win over Ole Miss finished Over the 142 point total, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Oklahoma has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Virginia has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 21 of their last 33 games Under the Total when playing their second game in eight days. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams with the Sooners struggling to score baskets against the outstanding Cavaliers defense. 10* CBB Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (861) and the Virginia Cavaliers (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Oklahoma vs Virginia
Virginia
-10½ -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 7:45 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (862) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (861). THE SITUATION: Virginia (30-3) has won ten of their last eleven games after they rallied from an anxious first half to dispatch of Gardner Webb by a 71-56 score as a 22-point favorite on Friday. Oklahoma (20-13) comes off a 95-72 upset victory over Mississippi on Friday as a 1-point underdog. This South regional game is being played on a neutral court in Columbia, South Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CAVALIERS MINUS THE POINTS: Virginia exorcised the demons from their opening round loss to sixteen seen Maryland-Baltimore County last year by blasting Gardner Webb by a 41-20 margin in the second half. This is a better team than last year’s group because they are much better on the offensive end of the court. After finishing 30th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency last year, the Cavaliers this season rank 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They also rank 3rd in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency which is why many of the laptops consider them the best team in the nation. They should build off the momentum of their strong second half on Friday as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after a point spread loss. Virginia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams outside the ACC. Additionally, the Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 44 games as a double-digit favorite. Oklahoma may be due for a letdown after pulling the upset over the Rebels as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Sooners made 57.6% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last four games while scoring the most points that they have all season. They may not reach half that amount tonight against the Cavs’ difficult Pack-Line defense. Despite Virginia leading the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 27.5% outside the arc, the most effective way to break their defense is to shoot over the Pack-Line from the outside (there is a reason why Tony Bennett’s defense is so good). Oklahoma is unlikely to get the job done here as they are just 168th in the nation by making only 34.5% of their 3-pointers. The Sooners ranked 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while ranking 58th in the nation overall in that metric. This teams also ranks just 66th in the nation amongst power conference foes in Shot Volume that takes into account Offensive Rebounding and Turnover percentages. Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games when playing their second game in seven days. Additionally, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games played on a neutral court as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the NCAA Tournament.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma will struggle to score — and the Cavaliers are a better scoring team this season with the continued development of a future NBA player in De’Andre Hunter. 10* CBB Oklahoma-Virginia tru-TV Special with the Virginia Cavaliers (862) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (861). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Buffalo vs Texas Tech
Texas Tech
-3½ -111 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Take the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls. Buffalo (32-3) has rattled off thirteen straight wins after defeating Arizona State by a 91-74 score. But it has been three months since the Bulls faced a power conference opponent — and that December game ended in a 103-85 loss to Marquette. Buffalo will want to push the tempo in this game — they have scored at least 85 points in three straight games. But the Bulls failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last contest. Texas Tech (27-6) will want to slow the pace of this game to a crawl — and their experience going to the Elite Eight last year will help them impose their will. While Buffalo makes 46.4% of their shots, the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against teams that make at least 45% of their shots. Texas Tech comes off a 72-57 win over Northern Kentucky on Friday — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. The Red Raiders have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lay the points with Texas Tech. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is a WINNING 2-1 in the NCAA Tourney so far on SundayCA$HING WINNING TICKETS on North Carolina and the Washington-UNC Under (while losing with Tennessee after their epic collapse) — to continue their SIZZLING 31 of 50 (62%) All-Sports mark over the last thirteen days which has maintained their 56 of 92 (61%) All-Sports run over the last twenty-five days for March Madness! Frank is ON FIRE in the NCAA Tournament with a RED HOT 8 of 11 (73%) CBB run over the last two days — and he continues his busy Sunday card with the Central Florida-Duke ATS winner on CBS-TV at 5:25 PM ET! WATCH & WIN — and BANK on Frank!

Frank DELIVERED his 25* CBB NCAA Tourney Round of 32 Total of the Year this afternoon with the Washington-North Carolina Under! Now Frank UNLEASHES his 25* NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Game of the Year in ANOTHER OUTSTANDING $$ OPPORTUNITY as part of his BIG SUNDAY CARD -- DO NOT MISS OUT!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
UCF vs Duke
UCF
+14 -115 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 5:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Central Florida Knights (863) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (864). Central Florida (24-8) has won five of their last seven games with their 73-58 win over VCU as a 1.5-point favorite on Friday. Duke (30-5) has won their last four games after they disposed of North Dakota State by an 85-62 score as a 27.5-point favorite on Friday. This East regional contest takes place in Columbia, South Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE THE KNIGHTS PLUS THE POINTS: Central Florida is the type of team that can give this Blue Devils’ team trouble. Duke is not a good 3-point shooting team — they rank 315th in the nation by making only 30.5% of their 3-point shots. With the 7’6 Tacko Fall patrolling the middle, the Knights hold their opponents to just a 44.3% shooting percentage inside the arc. They also limit their opponents to just a 31.0% field goal percentage from behind the arc which is 28th best in the nation. Zion Williamson is a phenom — but at 6’7, he is a full foot shorter that Fall. Head coach Johnny Dawkins team — a former Duke player and assistant coach himself — will have a confident bunch for this game. Central Florida has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Knights have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a blowout victory by at least 15 points. Additionally, UCF has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games against non-conference opponents. The Knights have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 144 to 144.5 point range. Duke has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. And while the Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, Duke is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games played on a neutral court as a favorite laying 12.5 to 15 points.

FINAL TAKE: Central Florida has the pedigree of a team that can make this game very interesting. They have two very talented guards in B.J. Taylor and Aubrey Dawkins — and this team makes 36.1% of their 3-point shots. They play at a slow pace as well — so the Duke freshman may get lulled into a low-scoring affair where all of the sudden their national championship aspirations could expire. Expect the Knights’ defense to keep them competitive in this game. 10* CBB Central Florida-Duke CBS-TV Special with the Central Florida Knights (863) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
UCF vs Duke
UNDER 143½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

Take Under the Total in the game between the Central Florida Knights and the Duke Blue Devils. Duke (30-5) has won four straight games after their 85-62 win over North Dakota State as a 27.5-point favorite on Friday. The Under is then 15-4-2 in the Blue Devils’ last 21 games after a victory by at least 20 points. The Under is also 11-1-1 in Duke’s last 13 games against an opponent outside the ACC. Central Florida (24-8) has won five of their last seven games with their 73-58 win over VCU on Friday. The Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is a WINNING 2-1 in the NCAA Tourney so far on SundayCA$HING WINNING TICKETS on North Carolina and the Washington-UNC Under (while losing with Tennessee after their epic collapse) — to continue their SIZZLING 31 of 50 (62%) All-Sports mark over the last thirteen days which has maintained their 56 of 92 (61%) All-Sports run over the last twenty-five days for March Madness! Frank is ON FIRE in the NCAA Tournament with a RED HOT 8 of 11 (73%) CBB run over the last two days — and he continues his busy Sunday card with the Central Florida-Duke ATS winner on CBS-TV at 5:25 PM ET! WATCH & WIN — and BANK on Frank!

Frank DELIVERED his 25* CBB NCAA Tourney Round of 32 Total of the Year this afternoon with the Washington-North Carolina Under! Now Frank UNLEASHES his 25* NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Game of the Year in ANOTHER OUTSTANDING $$ OPPORTUNITY as part of his BIG SUNDAY CARD -- DO NOT MISS OUT!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Washington vs North Carolina
North Carolina
-11 -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 2:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (868) minus the points versus the Washington Huskies (867). THE SITUATION: Washington (27-8) has won three of their last four games with their 78-61 upset victory over Utah State on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. North Carolina (28-6) has won nine of their last ten games with their 88-73 victory over Iona on Friday as a 24.5-point favorite. This Midwest regional game is being played in Columbus, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TAR HEELS MINUS THE POINTS: The Huskies made 49% of their shots against the Aggies which was the best shooting mark in the last five games. That was an outlier effort for this challenged team on offense — Washington ranks 109th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while also ranking 102nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 52.3%. Overall, the Huskies score 70.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field — but those numbers drop to just 63.4 PPG along with a 41.0% shooting mark when playing away from home. Washington also made 10 of their 17 (58.8%) of their shots behind the arc to far 35.2% shooting percentage from 3-point land — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after making at least 50% of their 3-pointers in their last game. The Huskies have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while Washington has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the ACC, the Huskies are just 1-3-1 ATS. North Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. They should build off the momentum of their big second half against the Gaels as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a win by at least 10 points — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a win by at least 15 points. Washington deploys a matchup 2-3 zone on defense which is vulnerable to leaving room for offensive players to crash the glass. The Huskies rank 345th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 34.7% of their missed shots — and the Tar Heels rank 17th in the nation by rebounding 35.0% of their missed shots. Washington wants to force turnovers as they rank 4th in the nation by getting turnovers in 24.3% of their opponent’s possessions. North Carolina is solid in this area — they ranked 4th in the ACC by turning the ball over in just 17.1% of their possessions. Protecting the basketball and getting second chance opportunities has been a bedrock for Roy Williams’ teams — this year’s team ranks 9th best in the nation in Shot Volume. The Tar Heels have generated 73 and 75 shots in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after taking at least 70 shots in two straight games. This team is also very familiar with the Huskies defense since their head coach Mike Hopkins modeled off the Jim Boeheim Syracuse schemes. What is underappreciated about this North Carolina team this season is just how good they are playing on defense. Roy Williams’ team ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have held their last five opponents to just a 39.2% field goal percentage. The Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Because North Carolina’s Shot Volume is so high from game-to-game, they rarely experience subpar games on offense. They should overwhelm an offensively-challenged Huskies team. 10* CBB Washington-North Carolina CBS-TV Special with the North Carolina Tar Heels (868) minus the points versus the Washington Huskies (867). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Washington vs North Carolina
UNDER 151 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

At 2:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (867) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (868). THE SITUATION: Washington (27-8) has won three of their last four games with their 78-61 upset victory over Utah State on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. North Carolina (28-6) has won nine of their last ten games with their 88-73 victory over Iona on Friday as a 24.5-point favorite. This Midwest regional game is being played in Columbus, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies made 49% of their shots against the Aggies which was the best shooting mark in the last five games. That was an outlier effort for this challenged team on offense — Washington ranks 109th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while also ranking 102nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 52.3%. Overall, the Huskies score 70.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field — but those numbers drop to just 63.4 PPG along with a 41.0% shooting mark when playing away from home. Washington has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while that game finished Over the 136 point total, the Huskies have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. What this Washington team thrives at is playing defense as they rank 18th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Senior guard Matisse Thybulle may be the best defensive player in college basketball. Head coach Mike Hopkins was a long time assistant of Jim Boeheim at Syracuse so this team deploys a similar 2-3 matchup-zone which can be very difficult to prepare for in tournament action on the weekend with the short turn-around time. The Huskies have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, Washington has played a decisive 37 of their last 55 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the Pac-12. North Carolina made 46.7% of their shots over the Gaels on Friday which was the best shooting mark in their last eight games. The Tar Heels are only making 43% of their shots over their last five games. North Carolina has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 15 points. The Tar Heels did control the glass against Iona as they pulled down 52 rebounds. The vulnerability of the 2-3 zone is that it leaves open space in front of the basket for offensive rebounds. Even if North Carolina gets plenty of second-chance opportunities, it helps the Under since it extends possession length. The Tar Heels have played 13 of the last 17 games Under the Total after rebounding at least 52 boards in their last contest. They have also played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing their second game in three days. What is underappreciated about this North Carolina team this season is just how good they are playing on defense. Roy Williams’ team ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have held their last five opponents to just a 39.2% field goal percentage. This strong defensive play has helped the Tar Heels plate 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. Furthermore, North Carolina has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament.

FINAL TAKE: Washington will try to slow this game down to limit possessions. With the Total creeping into the 150s, expect a lower scoring game. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (867) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (868). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Liberty vs Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech
-8½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (876) minus the points versus the Liberty Flames (875). Virginia Tech (25-8) raced out to a 40-18 first-half lead in an easy 66-52 victory over Saint Louis on Friday as a 10-point favorite. Liberty (29-6) has won six straight games after their 80-76 upset win over Mississippi State on Friday as a 7-point underdog. This East regional game takes place on a neutral court in San Jose.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HOKIES MINUS THE POINTS: It has been a magical ride for head coach Ritchie McKay’s team who has pulled off two straight upset victories after they won the Ohio Valley Conference championship by defeating Lipscomb as an underdog. But the Cinderella story likely ends tonight as the Flames have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. In hindsight, perhaps we all should have been on this Liberty team on Friday that was facing a fading Bulldogs team that entered that game having lost four of their last six games. The Flames were red-hot from behind the arc in that game as they nailed 12 of their 25 (48%) of their 3-pointers despite a meager 34.4% shooting percentage behind the arc in conference play. Liberty has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. Making all those 3-pointers helped the Flames deal with the Mississippi State size advantage. But their 6’8 big man in the post, Scottie Jones, will be challenged by the Hokies 6’10 center in Kerry Blackshear tonight. The problem for this Liberty offense is that they do not have much of a “Plan B” if their shots are not falling in their half-court offense. The Flames only rebound 25.7% of their missed shots which is 260th in the nation — and they rank 315th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Liberty has failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games when playing their second game in seven days. And in their last 12 games played on a neutral court, the Flames have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. Virginia Tech got an encouraging effort from Justin Robinson on Sunday who scored 9 points while adding 2 assists in 27 minutes of action after missing the previous 12 games to an injury. Head coach Buzz Williams’ group is one of the most balanced teams in the nation. The Hokies rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Virginia Tech has held their last five opponents to just a 38.7% field goal percentage — and they have not allowed more than 63 points in their last three games. The Hokies have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. Williams deploys a four-guard starting lineup which can make this team vulnerable when facing bigger opponents. However, this is a small Liberty team they are facing tonight. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams outside the ACC. They also thrive on neutral courts where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. Additionally, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games played on a neutral court when favored by 6.5 to 12 points — and this includes six straight point spread covers.

FINAL TAKE: I have seen multiple takes this morning about the dog being intriguing in this game since Liberty plays at one of the slowest paces in the nation with McKay being a Tony Bennett disciple. Well, this Virginia Tech plays Virginia twice a year — so they will be quite familiar with this style of play. The Hokies are very comfortable in this type of game since they also play at a slow pace — and they still outscore their opponents by +12.0 PPG. Efficiency is as important as tempo. Lastly, the Flames lost by at least 9 points to Vanderbilt, Georgetown, Alabama, and Austin Peay despite their slow pace and Pack-Line defense. Virginia Tech is, by far, the best team that Liberty has faced all season. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Game of the Year with the Virginia Tech Hokies (876) minus the points versus the Liberty Flames (875). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 24, 2019
Iowa vs Tennessee
Tennessee
-7½ -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

At 12:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (860) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (859). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (30-5) has won three of their last four games after they outlasted Colgate on Friday by a 77-70 score as a 17.5-point favorite. Iowa (23-11) comes off a 79-72 upset victory over Cincinnati on Friday as a 4-point underdog. This South regional game takes place in Columbus, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VOLUNTEERS MINUS THE POINTS: It does not bother me at all that Tennessee failed to blowout a pesky Colgate team. The Volunteers have not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 19 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Head coach Rick Barnes team has one of the most reliable scoring attacks in the nation because they do not rely on 3-point shooting which accounts for just 25.8% of their scoring production. Instead, the Volunteers thrive inside the arc where they make 55.7% of their shots which is 19th best in the nation. While this strategy is not “modern” basketball, it has helped this team enjoy the most efficient offense in the country when playing away from home. Tennessee will score in bunches against this Hawkeyes’ team that struggles on the defensive end of the court. Iowa ranks 110th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also allow their opponents to make 53.6% of their shots inside the arc — and that mark rose to an ugly 54.7% mark in Big Ten play which was dead last in the conference. The Volunteers are also 6th best in the nation in Shot Volume due to leading the SEC for the lowest turnover rate while pulling down almost 32% of their missed shots. Tennessee only turned the ball over 8 times on Thursday (12.3% of their possessions) — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not turning the ball over more than 8 times in their last game. Furthermore, the Volunteers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games on the road against non-conference opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150s. Iowa was red-hot against a tough Bearcats defense as they shot 54.6% from the field which was the best shooting effort for them in their last 15 games. But a letdown is likely for this team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. And while the Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, Iowa has failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games on the road when playing their second game in seven days. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in the NCAA Tournament.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa’s best player, Jordan Bohanan, had a nasty fall on his elbow in the waning moments in the game on Friday — he may not be at 100%. The Hawkeyes have only one senior on their roster which further places them at a disadvantage against this veteran Volunteers’ squad with six upperclassmen looking to advance to the Sweet 16 after losing in the Round of 32 last season. 10* CBB Iowa-Tennessee CBS-TV Special with the Tennessee Volunteers (860) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (859). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SERVICE BIO

Frank Sawyer has been the handicapper for the stars ever since he started working in the film industry over 20 years ago. In 1997, Frank decided to make his personal bets available to the public and his Hollywood Sports was born. His service has been ranked #1 by the Sports Monitor in Oklahoma City. Frank's style combines his veteran handicapping instincts with cutting edge statistical metric analysis to make him one of the most distinct, diverse and reliable handicappers in the business. One look at his Game Reports illustrates the difference he brings to the betting window. Frank bets football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer and horse racing (he has been a professional racehorse owner). He ranks his plays with a simple 10*, 20* and 25* rating system that serves as a money management guide: 10* plays warrant a standard bet; 20* plays are strong enough to warrant a doubling of a standard bet; 25* plays are Frank's highest rated play and it is recommended to invest 2.5 to 3 times a standard bet. Frank's signature play is his *A-List* release which is reserved for only the most rare and elite betting situations. You can follow his daily sports trials and tribulations (with few jokes thrown in) on Twitter: FrankSawyer_HS